In the previous week, those with a keen interest in politics witnessed intense debates and accusatory statements about bias in the polls, a situation that is typically expected during the last couple of months of an election campaign, not a year and two months before it.
The primary focus was on the upcoming general election polls: The credibility of a Wall Street Journal poll that showed a tie between ex-President Donald Trump and current President Biden. The interpretation of a CNN poll that portrayed Nikki Haley as the only Republican candidate with a lead over Biden beyond the margin of error. And the interpretation of data from the New York Times indicating a decline in Biden’s popularity among ethnic minority voters.
In the latest episode of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Galen engaged in a conversation with Carlos Odio from Equis Research and Terrance Woodbury from HIT Strategies. They discussed which recent data is important to focus on and which is merely noise.
You can access the episode by clicking the “play” button on the audio player above or by downloading it on iTunes, the ESPN App or your preferred podcast platform. If you’re new to podcasts, you can learn how to listen here.
The FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast is released every Monday and Thursday. Help new listeners find the show by leaving us a review and rating on iTunes. Do you have a comment, question or suggestion about “good polling vs. bad polling”? Contact us via email, on Twitter or in the comments section.
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